Price

Fund Flow

Sunday, 26 November 2017

FTSE 100 Chart Analysis

Is Brexit a negative or positive event?

Will London remain an important geographic location for the global financial markets as a leading financial hub/centre despite Brexit?

London has a strategic advantage of remaining as an important financial markets and as a leading financial hub/centre where it is a gateway connecting from US to Asia and vice versa.

Base on TA (Technical Analysis)

1) Jan 2000 high is 6950 and it had since broken out or 6950 resistance. it has created and form a new high at 7122 in April 2015.

2) Huge and large Ascending triangle chart formation is observed connecting year 2000 and year 2015 high and year 2009 low (3460) and Feb 2016 low (5499) forms a huge ascending triangle.

3) it has a target of 10000 points using a price channel of year 2000 high 6950 and year 2009 low 3460 as a benchmark guideline.



T3B FTSE 100 Historical Monthly Chart with Technical Analysis - 24.11.17 


T3B FTSE 100 Historical Monthly Chart - 24.11.17


FTSE 100 Historical Monthly Chart with Technical Analysis - 24.11.17


FTSE 100 Historical Monthly Chart - 24.11.17




Disclaimer: All news, information and charts shared is purely by my research and personal views only. This is not a trading recommendation or advice but on the basis of sharing information and educating the investment community. Different traders and investors adopt different trading strategies and risk management approach hence if in doubt please approach or seek clarifications with your Financial Adviser, Broker and Banker. 

Saturday, 11 November 2017

Interest Rate Analysis

Interest Rate QE 4 Steps Withdrawal Process

http://www.danielloh.com/2013/07/qe.html


Fundamentally Analysis suggest when interest rates hike, raised or rise it would fundamental impact financial markets as a whole, it would adversely impact assets class like equities, commodities, forex and property markets.

The above picture is extract and reference from Asia Investment Guru Master Hu Liyang.

The basis on the impact explains that the money flow back into the banking system, erasing speculating and taking risks among various assets class of the financial markets, earning interest income probably as a safe investments where cash is "Kings".

When interest rates rise, mortgage loans will rise, borrower will have to pay more interest for mortgage loans, when borrowers unable to finance their mortgage loans will probably need to auction or force sell their properties to repay their mortgage debt. The rise will also dampen demand for properties because buying a property usually a big ticket purchase will require leverage, the rise of interest rate will deter any form of purchase be it investment or occupation because the buyers financial health are assess by the banks to avoid any potential default hence unable to obtain mortgage loan to finance the purchase.

When interest rate rise also signals that the economy is growing and expanding (recovery mode) hence inflationary pressure will be felt which prompt the central banks to raise interest rate to cool the economy and mitigate risks.

Interest rate hike will prick the inflationary bubble across various assets class of the financial markets when it becomes too hot.

Interest rate rise will strengthen US dollar and selling of US treasury and yield will rise and price will fall.

Irony of current scenario US Federal Reserve Central Banks is hiking interest rates but why US dollar continue to weaken? probably because financial markets are forward looking and with the current US Federal Reserve Chair appointment had seen a change of appointment where current US Federal Chairperson Madam Janet Yellen's term is ending February 2018 with the new appointment of Mr. Jerome Powell an aide of President Trump to lead the US Federal Reserve Bank as Chairman will see any pro President Trump policy making decision.

Technical Analysis (TA) suggest US dollar spot price to fall around 82.50 after rallying since mid 2014 and into 3 years time frame yet to see any significant price correction. Technical Analysis suggest Rounding Top and possible descending triangle chart pattern, a swing setup for further downside movement.








Disclaimer: All news, information and charts shared is purely by my research and personal views only. This is not a trading recommendation or advice but on the basis of sharing information and educating the investment community. Different traders and investors adopt different trading strategies and risk management approach hence if in doubt please approach or seek clarifications with your Financial Adviser, Broker and Banker.